Bill Beats Oprah with Black Voters

Bill and Hillary Clinton By Pamela Gentry, Senior Political Producer

Posted Dec. 12, 2007 – It didn’t take long for the numbers crunchers to start calculating the “Oprah Factor.”  After Oprah Winfrey and Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) took a weekend tour of primary states, and commandeered every front page in the process, CBS/New York Times suggested in a new poll that all that hype might not even help Obama.

That’s not a surprise to me. I’m not sure any celeb can deliver votes. But if it can be done, my money is on Winfrey.  What we know so far is that she has done a better job than any other celebrity can do: provide up-close exposure of her candidate to tens of thousands of people in just three appearances in as many days.

Tuesday’s survey found that only 1 percent of primary voters said they were “more likely”  to vote for Obama because he was Winfrey’s presidential pick.

But 44 percent of Democratic primary voters say they would give their vote to Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-N.Y.) because it’s a two-four-one deal; they get the added bonus of husband Bill Clinton, who they believe knew a thing or two about how to run the White House.  If that’s how they feel, I’m not sure that’s good news for the senator. 

 InsiderAdvantage’s Matt Towery, made a correlation between Obama’s numbers and Winfrey’s visit.

“Obama’s support among African-Americans rose a bit over the weekend, while Clinton’s dropped. This follows our poll of late last week in which there was a major shift in Black voters towards Obama,” Towery said in a statement. “However, Obama’s White vote has not moved.

 A lot of this poll-watching with Winfrey is about the Black vote.  Obama is starting to chisel away at Clinton’s lead with Black folks, and Clinton had maintained a strong lead among Blacks voters because of Bill Clinton’s popularity in the African-American community.
 
Now pressure is on Clinton to regain loss ground with African-American voters, a must in a state like South Carolina.  Of the 480 likely voters surveyed, 80 percent said the Oprah factor made no difference for Obama’s chances, and 14 percent said her support made them less likely to support Obama.

While more than a quarter (26 percent) of the folks polled said they were supporting Hillary because of Bill, fewer than a quarter (23 percent) said they thought she had the experience to do the job.
If that perception persists, Clinton might find herself running against her husband rather than her challengers for the nomination.  

Will you decide who to vote for based on either of these folks? 

63 Comments so far

  1. c newsom on December 12th, 2007

    BILL CLINTON IS NOT RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT.LETS NOT GET CONFUSED. WE ALL KNOW ABOUT BILL DECISION MAKING CAPABILITIES. EXCUSE ME, I MEAN HILLIARY DECISION MAKING CAPABILITIES. WE NEED A FRESH VIBRANT MIND TO LEAD THIS COUNTRY BACK TO THE NEEDS OF ITS CITIZENS. ETC! CONCERNING EXPERIENCE,I WONDER HOW THINGS WOULD BE IF CONDALEEZA HAD JUMPED IN THE POT. WHAT A SHAME TO HAVE WASTED HER BRILLIANT MIND DEALING WITH GEORGE BUSH.

  2. lasjeonia hutchings on December 12th, 2007

    WHO EVER IS MAKING THESE COMMENTS WAKE THIS IS LIKE THE CRABS IN THE BUCKET THEORY AND IT’S TIME WE LET SOME OF THE CRABS OUT AND STOP TRYING TO PULL THEM IN

  3. Mrs. Calaway on December 13th, 2007

    Bet get real. We have come too far to let Obama get away. Folks, wake the &^%$ up now. Obama is quite capable of being president. He is sound, non offensive and ready to take on the so called big boys. Wake up my people (FAST). Quit overlooking Obama and see what he is talking about. Hilary’s camp have dug a new low as far as researching Barak’s elementary school documents. Is she desperate or what? Bill was ok but he is not Hilary. Obama has new ideas and we as a people need to pay attention.

  4. thweatt on December 17th, 2007

    Anyone who thinks Bill Clinton cares 1 ioda about black people, other than to get to where Bill Clinton wants, is a house nigga. Bill Clinton looks out for Bill Clinton. Bush & Conservatives are the same way, however I have more respect for my enemy when they make it known. And yes, White Democrats are not for black people, they just don’t mind using us for their benefit, while telling us they like us. Malcolm X said it best we aought to be involved in Black Nationalism not partisan loyalty. Democrats are not benefitting our people truly. They are getting just as rich soon to be richer than any Republican has in the history of this great country.

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  6. 4WOMAN on January 14th, 2008

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